A pair of expeditions is headed for the Pacific in the coming months to try and finally discover what happened to Amelia Earhart.
One is headed by our friends who think she traveled hundreds of miles beyond her probable fuel reserves and crashed on a remote island. The others are coming to search a stretch of the ocean where most experts think she crashed.
The ocean searchers have, I believe, probability on their side; she said she was convinced she was near Howland Island, the land station said her signals proved she was right there, and she said she was out of fuel. Case closed?
No, the island searchers think she traveled more than 200 miles after radio contact eased and made it to what was then Gardner’s Island. Their evidence: Pretty sketchy so far. Now they think they have located a sonar image of a landing gear in the area. If they are right, they know somebody’s plane crashed there. But sonar images that remind people of something are plentiful – they have popped up several times in the search for the Loch Ness Monster. People often look at an image of a sonar reading and see something other than what is there. Of course that is why they are headed back.
This is truly needle in a haystack stuff. The Electra she flew is a pretty small plane, the Pacific is vast. The sea searchers are looking at an area many square miles in size. The area around the island isn’t small either. Almost everything else I can think of that has been found intentionally dwarfs the Electra or was found in shallower water. I wish them both good luck and am a very interested observer. As usual I have Crow On Ice in case the island searchers find her plane against my every expectation.